OpenAI
Implied probability 2%−1
24-hour volume$256
Total volume$428k
Liquidity$428k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 06:30 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 13:13 UTC | 2% |
| 18 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 3% |
| 17 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 2% |
| 16 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 3% |
| 16 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if OpenAI publicly confirms an initial public offering before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if that confirmation does not happen by the deadline. Readers often mistake news about other companies like GlobalFoundries or TSMC as relevant to this specific market.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%