Cristiano Ronaldo plays for Portugal Men's National Team in an official match
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 95%
24-hour volume$312
Total volume$23k
Liquidity$23k
Resolved8 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Sept, 03:44 UTC | 99% |
| 24 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 98% |
| 23 Sept, 13:33 UTC | 80% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Cristiano Ronaldo plays in an official competitive match for the Portugal Men's National Team after July 20, 2026 and before his retirement. It resolves to No if he does not play in such a match within that timeframe or if he retires before playing again. Readers often mistake the start date of the condition, thinking it applies to matches before July 20, 2026.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%