Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win
Implied probability 13%−4
24-hour volume$5
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 24 Sept, 13:03 UTC | 13% |
| 22 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if both the Iowa Governor and Iowa Senate races are won by Republicans. The outcome is No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about diesel prices for a relevant factor, but only the party affiliation of the winners determines the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%