Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
Implied probability 45%+4
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$23k
Liquidity$23k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 10 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 45% |
| 10 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 42% |
| 10 Oct, 07:57 UTC | 41% |
| 10 Oct, 01:06 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 39% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 39% |
| 9 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 46% |
| 9 Oct, 13:44 UTC | 42% |
| 9 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 44% |
| 8 Oct, 20:54 UTC | 43% |
| 8 Oct, 10:30 UTC | 46% |
| 8 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 43% |
| 7 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 37% |
| 7 Oct, 14:11 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 46% |
| 6 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 39% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Democratic candidate wins the Iowa Governor race and a Republican candidate wins the Iowa Senate race. The outcome is No if either of these conditions fails. Readers often mistake the linked debate headline for the final result, but only the official election winners determine the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 45%
- No 55%