Above 2.772 billion bushels
Implied probability 58%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves31 Jan 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the USDA NASS reports that Iowa’s corn for grain production for 2026 exceeds 2.772 billion bushels. It resolves to No if that specific report shows production at or below that amount. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a steel plant for the relevant data source, but only the official USDA NASS report counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 58%
- No 42%