Jared Moskowitz
Implied probability 98%+17
24-hour volume$114k
Total volume$551k
Liquidity$551k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the person elected to represent Florida's 25th congressional district for the term starting in 2027 belongs to the Democratic Party. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a constituent arrest for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%