Jim Jordan
Implied probability 75%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 75% |
| 30 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 71% |
| 28 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 21:32 UTC | 71% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Jim Jordan announces his intention to run for House Republican leader for the 120th Congress in 2026 after the issuance of this question and before January 1, 2027. This includes running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office. The market resolves to "No" if Jim Jordan does not make such an announcement within the specified timeframe.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 75%
- No 25%