Arch Manning
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$1.4M
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Arch Manning wins the College Football Heisman Trophy during the 2026-2027 college football season. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific award in that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his return to Tennessee for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%