Yes
Implied probability 96%+4
24-hour volume$13k
Total volume$33k
Liquidity$33k
Resolves31 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 7 Nov, 06:12 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Nov, 05:37 UTC | 95% |
| 7 Nov, 04:05 UTC | 96% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 94% |
| 7 Nov, 02:39 UTC | 95% |
| 7 Nov, 01:34 UTC | 94% |
| 7 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 92% |
| 7 Nov, 00:01 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 22:35 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 20:39 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 20:02 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 92% |
| 6 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 16:35 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 16:20 UTC | 93% |
| 6 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 94% |
| 6 Nov, 12:51 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 12:15 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 11:52 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 10:42 UTC | 97% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 92% |
| 6 Nov, 01:31 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 22:40 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 92% |
| 5 Nov, 19:36 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 18:43 UTC | 92% |
| 5 Nov, 18:28 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 14:00 UTC | 87% |
| 5 Nov, 05:50 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 88% |
| 5 Nov, 03:16 UTC | 91% |
| 5 Nov, 02:10 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 90% |
| 5 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 89% |
| 5 Nov, 00:01 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 23:40 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 18:04 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 12:09 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 11:47 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 09:07 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 08:53 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 06:50 UTC | 90% |
| 4 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 86% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 03:48 UTC | 88% |
| 4 Nov, 02:41 UTC | 91% |
| 4 Nov, 01:13 UTC | 90% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 89% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 88% |
| 3 Nov, 16:47 UTC | 91% |
| 3 Nov, 12:50 UTC | 88% |
| 3 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 90% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 88% |
| 3 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 91% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 88% |
| 3 Nov, 02:23 UTC | 92% |
| 3 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 92% |
| 2 Nov, 23:08 UTC | 88% |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | 92% |
| 2 Nov, 21:12 UTC | 89% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 92% |
| 2 Nov, 18:42 UTC | 89% |
| 2 Nov, 15:42 UTC | 92% |
| 2 Nov, 13:18 UTC | 90% |
| 2 Nov, 12:42 UTC | 89% |
| 2 Nov, 12:19 UTC | 90% |
| 2 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 89% |
| 1 Nov, 12:02 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Nov, 06:08 UTC | 90% |
| 1 Nov, 05:33 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Nov, 03:40 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Nov, 00:41 UTC | 88% |
| 1 Nov, 00:07 UTC | 87% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 89% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Grand Theft Auto VI becomes the highest-grossing video game within its first 24 hours of release in 2026. It resolves to No if this financial record is not broken during that specific window. Readers often mistake the total lifetime sales for the required 24-hour revenue metric.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 96%
- No 4%