Before 2027
Implied probability 16%+3
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$133k
Liquidity$133k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 16 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Oct, 11:02 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 15% |
| 16 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 15% |
| 16 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 15% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Oct, 23:15 UTC | 15% |
| 15 Oct, 22:42 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Oct, 22:22 UTC | 15% |
| 15 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Oct, 19:35 UTC | 12% |
| 15 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 16% |
| 15 Oct, 17:32 UTC | 15% |
| 15 Oct, 17:25 UTC | 16% |
| 15 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 15% |
| 15 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 13% |
| 15 Oct, 12:01 UTC | 15% |
| 15 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 14% |
| 15 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 15% |
| 15 Oct, 02:08 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 11% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 12% |
| 14 Oct, 07:43 UTC | 13% |
| 14 Oct, 07:02 UTC | 15% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 13% |
| 13 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 14% |
| 13 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Rockstar Games releases GTA VI Online to the public before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that release does not happen within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the news headline date for the official resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%