SIENNA SPIRO
Implied probability 30%
24-hour volume$16
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves31 Dec 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 20:00 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 36% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 31% |
| 28 Oct, 07:43 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 31% |
| 26 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 28% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Sienna Spiro wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the linked MTV VMA story for the deciding event, but only the Grammy outcome counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 30%
- No 70%