Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%
Implied probability 97%−2
24-hour volume$160
Total volume$41k
Liquidity$41k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 97% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 97% |
| 7 Nov, 02:53 UTC | 87% |
| 6 Nov, 21:23 UTC | 96% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 98% |
| 6 Nov, 16:57 UTC | 95% |
| 6 Nov, 12:00 UTC | 93% |
| 5 Nov, 22:18 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 21:11 UTC | 98% |
| 5 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 94% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 95% |
| 5 Nov, 14:32 UTC | 94% |
| 5 Nov, 12:14 UTC | 99% |
| 5 Nov, 08:37 UTC | 97% |
| 5 Nov, 07:24 UTC | 98% |
| 5 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 96% |
| 5 Nov, 03:51 UTC | 86% |
| 5 Nov, 01:28 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 23:04 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 21:58 UTC | 98% |
| 4 Nov, 19:35 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 97% |
| 4 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 92% |
| 4 Nov, 13:46 UTC | 93% |
| 4 Nov, 12:40 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 96% |
| 4 Nov, 10:21 UTC | 89% |
| 4 Nov, 09:07 UTC | 94% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 84% |
| 4 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 85% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 87% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 75% |
| 3 Nov, 04:13 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Gina Hinojosa wins the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by a margin of at least 6%. It resolves to No if her victory margin is less than 6% or if she does not win. Readers often mistake the required margin for a simple win, ignoring the specific 6% threshold.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 97%
- No 3%