Sanae Takaichi
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Jan 2045
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 13:03 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 3% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the current Japanese Prime Minister is the first G7 leader to leave office at the time of issuance. It resolves to No if this condition is not met. Readers often mistake the linked story's headline for the resolution trigger, but the outcome depends solely on who holds the title and when they depart relative to other G7 leaders.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%