Argentina
Implied probability 8%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 15% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 9% |
| 18 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 14% |
| 18 Oct, 16:45 UTC | 13% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a free trade deal with Argentina becomes law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or via a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed by the President before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the signing of implementing legislation for the final resolution without confirming that the deal has actually become law.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%