Marine Le Pen
Implied probability 46%−4
24-hour volume$18k
Total volume$310k
Liquidity$310k
Resolves30 May 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 46% |
| 27 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 46% |
| 27 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 48% |
| 27 Oct, 10:20 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Oct, 09:30 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Oct, 07:10 UTC | 49% |
| 27 Oct, 01:39 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Oct, 21:45 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Oct, 18:26 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Oct, 14:03 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 49% |
| 26 Oct, 03:13 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 50% |
| 26 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 51% |
| 25 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 50% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 50% |
| 24 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Oct, 13:07 UTC | 52% |
| 24 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 50% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Oct, 21:18 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 12:36 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Oct, 12:02 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 07:33 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 53% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 52% |
| 22 Oct, 21:02 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 52% |
| 22 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 52% |
| 22 Oct, 15:01 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 54% |
| 22 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 54% |
| 22 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 54% |
| 22 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 53% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 54% |
| 22 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 54% |
| 22 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 52% |
| 21 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 52% |
| 21 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 52% |
| 21 Oct, 14:32 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 55% |
| 21 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 54% |
| 21 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 09:05 UTC | 54% |
| 21 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 07:05 UTC | 54% |
| 21 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 53% |
| 21 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 54% |
| 21 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 54% |
| 21 Oct, 01:24 UTC | 54% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Marine Le Pen wins the next French presidential election. The outcome is No if she does not win. Readers often mistake the date of the linked Senate news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 46%
- No 54%