250 or more
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves24 Jan 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Florida reports at least 250 locally acquired dengue cases in 2026. It resolves to No if the total falls below that threshold. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on current news rather than the full year's official count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%