George Russell
Implied probability 29%+2
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves18 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +19 points at 15:21 UTC, after SkySports: Verstappen claims Singapore Sprint pole but under investigation — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 10 Oct, 09:35 UTC | 29% |
| 10 Oct, 05:07 UTC | 22% |
| 10 Oct, 03:05 UTC | 27% |
| 10 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 28% |
| 9 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 24% |
| 9 Oct, 22:38 UTC | 22% |
| 9 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 21% |
| 9 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 18% |
| 9 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 29% |
| 9 Oct, 17:39 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 22% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 40% |
| 9 Oct, 13:44 UTC | 21% |
| 9 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 26% |
| 9 Oct, 04:53 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 30% |
| 7 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 28% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if George Russell finishes in the top five of the main race at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix. The outcome is No if he does not finish in the top five or fails to complete the race. Readers often mistake the linked story about the Bahrain GP for the relevant event, but only the Singapore Grand Prix results count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 29%
- No 71%