George Russell
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$37k
Total volume$106k
Liquidity$106k
Resolves18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 5% |
| 9 Oct, 10:40 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 2% |
| 8 Oct, 15:04 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 3% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 00:46 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if George Russell wins the main race at the 2026 Singapore Grand Prix. It resolves to No if he does not finish first in that specific event. Readers often mistake the Sprint Qualifying results for the final outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%