Economy and cost of living
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the economy and cost of living ranks as the most important issue for voters in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll. It resolves to No if any other issue takes that top spot. Readers often mistake the linked news story about rural voters for the official data source, but only the final 2026 exit poll results count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%