France
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 31 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if France votes to leave the European Union before January 1, 2030. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake this for a resolution based on economic indicators like bond yields rather than an actual vote.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%