Manchester United
Implied probability 14%−1
24-hour volume$530
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves21 Jun 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 18:49 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Nov, 21:56 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Nov, 15:24 UTC | 18% |
| 1 Nov, 14:23 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 06:36 UTC | 19% |
| 1 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Nov, 01:38 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Nov, 00:21 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 20:36 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 14% |
| 31 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Oct, 09:31 UTC | 11% |
| 28 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Manchester United finishes at the bottom of the English Premier League table and is relegated during the 2026-27 season. The outcome is No if they avoid relegation in that specific season. Readers often mistake the current news headline for the final resolution, but only the official end-of-season league standings determine the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%