Aston Villa
Why it moved: −8 points at 09:30 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Aston Villa sack manager Natalia Arroyo with club second-bottom of WSL — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 1% |
| 28 Sept, 09:11 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Aston Villa is relegated from the English Premier League during the 2026-27 season. It resolves to No if they remain in the league at the end of that specific campaign. Readers often mistake the linked news about the women's team manager for the relevant event, but only the men's team's final league standing matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%