Manchester City
Implied probability 1%−60
24-hour volume$4.0M
Total volume$4.3M
Liquidity$4.3M
Resolves26 Oct 2026
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What counts
Manchester City must win the match against Aston Villa within the standard 90 minutes of play, including any added stoppage time, for the outcome to be Yes. The result does not count if the game goes to extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistakenly believe that a draw or a loss in regular time still counts as a potential win if City performs well later.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%