Manchester City
Implied probability 38%
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$57k
Liquidity$57k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 38% |
| 6 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 37% |
| 4 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 19:16 UTC | 38% |
| 3 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 05:38 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 39% |
| 2 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 39% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 12:07 UTC | 37% |
| 1 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 22:37 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 17:51 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 17:28 UTC | 37% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Sept, 13:57 UTC | 39% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Manchester City wins the specified match against Liverpool after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the result of that specific game, excluding extra time or penalties. Readers often mistake the resolution for relying on the final score including extra time or other matches.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 38%
- No 62%