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Manchester United

Implied probability 45%−12
24-hour volume$796k
Total volume$883k
Liquidity$883k
Resolves12 Oct 2026

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Manchester United wins the match against Tottenham after 90 minutes of play and stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or if Tottenham wins. Readers often mistake the final result including extra time or penalties as the deciding factor, but only the score at the end of regular time counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 45%
  • No 55%

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