Before 2027
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 28 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Tom Brady and Alix Earle are reported as engaged before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if that specific engagement does not occur within the deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about Candice Swanepoel for the relevant event, but only reports concerning Alix Earle count toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%