AI / Artificial Intelligence
Implied probability 69%+28
24-hour volume$332
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves2 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 30 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 69% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 30% |
| 28 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 46% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk mentions artificial intelligence during the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not mention it at that specific event. Readers often mistake the linked news story about AI neoclouds as the trigger instead of his actual speech at the summit.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 69%
- No 31%