Manchester City
Implied probability 40%+1
24-hour volume$138
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves4 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 5 Nov, 03:30 UTC | 40% |
| 4 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 39% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 34% |
| 3 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 35% |
| 2 Nov, 18:42 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Nov, 11:22 UTC | 34% |
| 1 Nov, 22:10 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 33% |
| 31 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 35% |
| 31 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 34% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 34% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
Manchester City must win the 2026-27 EFL Carabao Cup for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on the official champion of that specific tournament. Readers often mistake this question for a general prediction about Manchester City's overall success or other competitions.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 40%
- No 60%