Central African Republic
Implied probability 36%
24-hour volume$28
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 36% |
| 10 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 36% |
| 9 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 37% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a confirmed human case of Ebola in the Central African Republic is officially reported between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about the African Union credit rating agency for the resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 36%
- No 64%