Yes
Implied probability 20%+1
24-hour volume$24
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 05:40 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 19% |
| 31 Oct, 03:31 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 17% |
| 30 Oct, 18:51 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 17% |
| 27 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 25% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a federal judge holds the Trump administration, a federal agency, or a federal official in contempt of court regarding the East Potomac golf course litigation between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 20%
- No 80%