Oil / Gas / Gasoline
The market favoured Yes at 75% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 10%
24-hour volume$998
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolved31 Mar 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 23% |
| 7 Oct, 12:06 UTC | 52% |
| 7 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 57% |
| 7 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 58% |
| 7 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 52% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 56% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 57% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 79% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 68% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 75% |
| 6 Oct, 14:37 UTC | 76% |
| 6 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 68% |
| 5 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 75% |
| 5 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 69% |
| 5 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 81% |
| 5 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 85% |
| 5 Oct, 13:39 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 65% |
| 5 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 85% |
| 5 Oct, 04:40 UTC | 65% |
| 5 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 67% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 64% |
| 3 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 60% |
| 2 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Oct, 20:18 UTC | 66% |
| 2 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 60% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any Constellation Brands, Inc. representative mentions Oil, Gas, or Gasoline during the next earnings call, including the question-and-answer session. The outcome is No if this specific topic does not appear in that designated discussion.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%