Starlink
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 99% |
| 19 Oct, 00:04 UTC | 98% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a SpaceX representative mentions Starlink during the upcoming earnings call or Q&A session. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution source, but only statements made during the specific earnings call count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%