YouTube
The market favoured Yes at 73% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolved18 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 07:05 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 05:20 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 04:19 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 61% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Netflix representative mentions YouTube during the company's next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer session. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking any future mention counts rather than only those made during this specific upcoming event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%