Podcast
The market favoured Yes at 85% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$952
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolved1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 1% |
| 20 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 63% |
| 20 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 85% |
| 20 Oct, 19:48 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Oct, 16:27 UTC | 80% |
| 20 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 86% |
| 20 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 85% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 80% |
| 16 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 84% |
| 16 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 79% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Netflix representative mentions Podcast during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q&A session. It resolves to No if this does not happen within that specific event. Readers often mistake the source of truth, thinking any public statement counts instead of only those made by a representative during the designated call.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%