Inflation
The market favoured Yes at 85% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved26 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 28 Oct, 12:12 UTC | 99% |
| 28 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 87% |
| 27 Oct, 10:37 UTC | 85% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any GE Vernova representative mentions inflation during the upcoming live earnings call or official broadcast, including the question-and-answer session. It resolves to No if they do not mention it within that specific event. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the statement must appear in written reports rather than being spoken aloud during the live call.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%