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Julia Stiles

Implied probability 68%−1
24-hour volume$51
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves7 Jan 2027

Why it moved: −5 points at 09:28 UTC, after The New York Times: Julia Stiles on ‘Dancing With the Stars’ Is Healing Millennials — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Julia Stiles
0%50%100%68%20 Oct, 02:00 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now68%
25 Oct, 09:28 UTC68%
22 Oct, 10:31 UTC73%
22 Oct, 01:29 UTC68%
21 Oct, 21:41 UTC74%
21 Oct, 21:12 UTC66%
21 Oct, 19:02 UTC69%
21 Oct, 17:57 UTC75%
21 Oct, 16:43 UTC69%
21 Oct, 14:47 UTC67%
21 Oct, 12:21 UTC66%
21 Oct, 11:01 UTC70%
21 Oct, 08:44 UTC67%
21 Oct, 02:20 UTC64%
20 Oct, 02:00 UTC57%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Julia Stiles qualifies for the Dancing with the Stars Season 35 finale before December 31, 2026 at 10am EST. It resolves to No if she does not qualify within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story as the resolution criteria instead of the official qualification status.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 68%
  • No 32%

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