MJ Daffue
The market favoured Yes at 54% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$710
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolved1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 4 Oct, 15:12 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 57% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Oct, 18:51 UTC | 56% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if MJ Daffue finishes in the top 20 of the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, including ties. It resolves to No if he does not finish in that range. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Jordan for the relevant event instead of focusing on Daffue's final standing.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%