Above 4.5%
Implied probability 8%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves2 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 27 Oct, 15:30 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Dollar General reports same-store sales growth above 4.5% for the third quarter of 2026. It resolves to No if that specific metric does not exceed that threshold during the designated period. Readers often mistake the lawsuit headline for the resolution criteria, but only the company's reported Q3 2026 sales figures determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%