Before Jan 1, 2027
Why it moved: +24 points at 14:56 UTC, after Fortune: ‘Pick another protein’: A cattle rancher senator’s answer on beef prices could give Democrats their first Mississippi Senate win since 1982 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 16:50 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 16:05 UTC | 63% |
| 6 Nov, 15:21 UTC | 64% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 66% |
| 4 Nov, 23:18 UTC | 43% |
| 4 Nov, 19:12 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 18:57 UTC | 36% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a current member of the Democratic Senate caucus publicly calls for Chuck Schumer to step down, resign, or be replaced as leader before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake general criticism or private discussions for the required public statement by a qualifying senator.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 36%