1
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolved1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 12:29 UTC | 2% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump visits Trump National Golf Club in Washington, D.C. exactly once during September 2026. It resolves to No for any other number of trips. Readers often mistake the location or month, but only visits to this specific club in this specific month count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%