Ethereum (ETH)
Implied probability 51%+1
24-hour volume$301
Total volume$82k
Liquidity$82k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 10:35 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 55% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 53% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 15:00 UTC | 53% |
| 30 Sept, 14:23 UTC | 54% |
| 30 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 52% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 55% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 58% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Ethereum's price increases at any point during 2026. It resolves to No if the price does not rise within that year. Readers often mistake the linked story about Vitalik Buterin as a factor, but only the actual price return in 2026 matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 51%
- No 49%