Misty Green
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves3 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 21:33 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the film *Misty Green* wins the award for Best Original Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. It resolves to No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the premiere of the film as the resolution event, but only the official award result counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%