Warwickshire
The market favoured Yes at 88% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
Resolved30 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 99% |
| 26 Sept, 10:13 UTC | 97% |
| 26 Sept, 09:49 UTC | 95% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 93% |
| 26 Sept, 08:30 UTC | 95% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Sept, 06:55 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 90% |
| 26 Sept, 04:52 UTC | 96% |
| 26 Sept, 02:32 UTC | 91% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 94% |
| 26 Sept, 01:46 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 00:49 UTC | 92% |
| 26 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 90% |
| 25 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 92% |
| 25 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 93% |
| 25 Sept, 22:16 UTC | 91% |
| 25 Sept, 21:34 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 17:06 UTC | 95% |
| 25 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 94% |
| 25 Sept, 15:01 UTC | 87% |
| 25 Sept, 14:46 UTC | 96% |
| 25 Sept, 13:04 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 94% |
| 25 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 94% |
| 25 Sept, 10:12 UTC | 90% |
| 25 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 89% |
| 25 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 88% |
| 25 Sept, 07:49 UTC | 86% |
| 25 Sept, 05:49 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Sept, 05:24 UTC | 90% |
| 25 Sept, 04:35 UTC | 84% |
| 25 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 85% |
| 25 Sept, 03:24 UTC | 91% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 86% |
| 25 Sept, 02:20 UTC | 90% |
| 25 Sept, 01:33 UTC | 93% |
| 25 Sept, 01:26 UTC | 89% |
| 25 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 86% |
| 25 Sept, 00:13 UTC | 90% |
| 24 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 89% |
| 24 Sept, 23:21 UTC | 86% |
| 24 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 90% |
| 24 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 92% |
| 24 Sept, 21:46 UTC | 87% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 98% |
| 24 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 90% |
| 23 Sept, 18:31 UTC | 62% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Warwickshire wins the specific County Championship match against Leicestershire scheduled for September 24, 2026. It resolves to No if they do not win that particular game. Readers often mistake the resolution deadline or assume any victory counts, but only this specific match determines the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%