Mexico
Implied probability 39%−3
24-hour volume$12
Total volume$26k
Liquidity$26k
Resolves15 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 10 Oct, 11:54 UTC | 39% |
| 9 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 41% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 42% |
| 9 Oct, 02:07 UTC | 40% |
| 8 Oct, 04:31 UTC | 41% |
| 8 Oct, 03:08 UTC | 40% |
| 8 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 41% |
| 7 Oct, 23:18 UTC | 42% |
| 7 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 38% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 47% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 43% |
| 7 Oct, 14:11 UTC | 43% |
| 7 Oct, 11:17 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 09:03 UTC | 41% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 40% |
| 6 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 41% |
| 6 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 36% |
| 6 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 37% |
| 6 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 36% |
| 6 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 43% |
| 6 Oct, 04:16 UTC | 42% |
| 6 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 20% |
| 5 Oct, 16:03 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 42% |
| 5 Oct, 10:41 UTC | 42% |
| 5 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 38% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 37% |
| 5 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 52% |
| 5 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 41% |
| 4 Oct, 22:30 UTC | 46% |
| 4 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 23% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 29% |
| 4 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 28% |
| 4 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 07:38 UTC | 29% |
| 4 Oct, 06:07 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 05:17 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Oct, 04:51 UTC | 38% |
| 4 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 36% |
| 4 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 21:03 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 57% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 58% |
| 3 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 41% |
| 3 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 57% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 56% |
| 3 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 54% |
| 3 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 55% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
Mexico must win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League A tournament for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves based on the official champion of that specific competition, not individual match results like the friendly against Colombia.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 39%
- No 61%