Johnny Manziel
Implied probability 21%−6
24-hour volume$110
Total volume$31k
Liquidity$31k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 21% |
| 27 Sept, 03:12 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 27% |
| 25 Sept, 22:32 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Johnny Manziel appears as a guest on ESPN's College GameDay before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not appear by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about Johnny Knoxville for the relevant event, but only Manziel's appearance counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 21%
- No 79%