Kurt Suzuki
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 55%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolved23 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 22 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 55% |
| 21 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 99% |
| 20 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 15% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Los Angeles Angels manager leaves or announces their departure before December 1, 2026. It resolves to No if this event does not occur by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about Kurt Suzuki as the resolution trigger, but the rule applies strictly to the team's manager.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%