Joe Espada
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 99% |
| 14 Oct, 04:27 UTC | 90% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Joe Espada leaves his role as manager of the Houston Astros or announces he will leave before December 1, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of a news report about tension for the actual deadline, but only an official departure or announcement counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%