Maintain current rate
Implied probability 34%−3
24-hour volume$70
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves28 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 34% |
| 19 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 34% |
| 16 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 37% |
| 16 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 40% |
| 16 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 41% |
| 14 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 42% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Reserve Bank of New Zealand maintains its current interest rate during its October Monetary Policy Review meeting. The outcome is No if it changes the rate or takes any other action. Readers often mistake the deadline as the date of the linked story about the Reserve Bank of Australia, but the resolution depends solely on the decision made by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 66%