Above 125
Implied probability 98%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$24k
Resolves8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 98% |
| 31 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Oct, 15:26 UTC | 98% |
| 28 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 97% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the number of Instacart app downloads in October 2026 exceeds 125. The outcome is No if that download count is 125 or lower. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the month rather than the specific reporting period defined by Carbon Arc.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 98%
- No 2%