AI / Artificial Intelligence
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$172k
Liquidity$172k
Resolved9 Oct 2026
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mark Carney explicitly mentions artificial intelligence during his speech at the United Nations General Assembly. It resolves to No if he does not mention it or speaks elsewhere. Readers often mistake any general discussion of AI for a specific verbal confirmation by Carney at this event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%